Category Archives: Economics

Artificially Intelligent Program Trading System

Posted on July 5, 1999 | Leave a comment

Data Sources

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Parallelized Analytics Agents

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Signal Aggregation analytics

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Webserver

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Trading Platforms and Reporting

Arbitrages – even of very small marginal size – could be exploited based on a large number of artificially intelligent program trading systems mining historical and currently released information for financial products and correlated factors. Using multiple signalling agents, aggregated signals can be calculated by weighting each agent based on the statistical strength of historical signal combinations. Using this type of design, it is easy to develop multiple agents that are completely independent and confidential. Multiple agents can be developed concurrently, tested, and introduced to the aggregate system at any rate.

The process of the elimination of arbitrage opportunities will create vast concentrations of wealth within the companies that embrace the tools that automate this process. As new information sources become available for analysis, new arbitrages may be identified with increasing complexity. The abstraction of trading systems to automaically test and integrate new data sources will mark the last decades of financially advantageous investment in hedge funds. After that time, return will be a stochastic function of expected risk.

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Posted in Bonds, Brain in a jar, Commodities, Economics, Freakonomics, Investment, Science, Stocks, Tech, The Future

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Community in the 21st Century

Posted on May 5, 1999 | 2 comments

Communities will be based on areas of interest, discussion, belief, and informational interaction, rather than physical proximity and race. Individuals will be members of many unrelated communities.

Community sets may overlap in telling ways when looking at large numbers of people. This data might be used for suggesting additional community associations and interpersonal relationships with shared interests.

Markets and marketing will be based on these communities.

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Posted in Economics, Freakonomics, Investment, Psychology, Public Policy, Tech, The Future

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Competition Matrix

Posted on March 14, 1999 | Leave a comment

An interactive competition matrix for buyers and sellers of any good or service would improve efficiencies for both. Traditional search engines are weak for goods and services. With a competition matrix, sellers could list their goods or services with unlimited flexible descriptive fields. Standard field sets would form for popular goods and services. Buyers could indicate their prefernces for characteristics of goods or services and see a competitive table of available goods or services matching their criteria. Links to – or direct – commerce would enable simplified access to the selected good or service. With user driven fielding, the system would naturally and organically follow supply and demand into any number of increasingly specific goods and services. System maintenance would be minimal, if any.

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Posted in Early Stage, Economics, Freakonomics, Tech, The Future

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Technology’s Impact on Democracy

Posted on February 20, 1999 | Leave a comment

We live in a representative government where the people elect representatives who make decisions. In the future, the overwhelming complication of voting on decisions (rather than decision-makers) can be overcome.

Democratic decision making will take place on a very wide range of decisions, in real time, and among effected participants. All available evidence, argument, and education that is relevant for each vote will be publicly and conveniently accessible. Some votes will be continuous, while others will have deadlines. Bureaucracy will be vastly eliminated. Laws and tax rates will quickly adjust to optimal. Justice will be swift and accurate. Power will be decentralized.

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Posted in Economics, Public Policy, Tech

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