Tag Archives: software

Industrial Logic

The information age has transformed the economy. The financial service industry has been a tremendous beneficiary with huge financial rewards for innovation and engineering. The financial services sector grew to at least 2nd largest in the US on at least 2 occasions, and that’s not counting banking and securities brokerage*.

Financial engineering created such large returns in the investment industry that it absorbed a large number of top talent from the global workforce for a generation. The industrial world, through automation and logistics applications has changed, too, but not like the financial markets.

Financial engineering has matured and the breakthroughs for systemic outperformance and securitization are harder to find. There is still obvious room to improve how to tailor services for individuals, but you know what I’m saying. Rather than choosing to innovate in the financial services, more engineers will see the best opportunities in industry.

And that gets me to the point: As the information age matures, I think we will see that financial engineering will give way to industrial logic as the most powerful force in the economy. Now that capital is being allocated so efficiently, productivity gains will increasingly come from industrial logic: information systems tied to production and services.

APIs** will be a catalyst for industrial communications. Companies can become part of a global network of improving efficiency, production, services, and innovation.

Reading my Clay Shirkey book from Christmas has me all optimistic.

Happy New Year. Get back to work,
– Dan

* based on my recollection of Value Line data from over the years…

** It stands for Application Protocol Interface. Just like consumers have been blessed with this new smartphone app phenomenon, developers have been blessed with APIs. APIs let companies talk to companies over the internet. They can send data and receive responses with other data. It’s great.

Honda Reveals Sweet Technologies for Next-Generation ASIMO

Honda rocks.

They announced yesterday the development of new technologies for the next-generation ASIMO humanoid robot, targeting a new level of mobility that will better enable ASIMO to function and interact with people by quickly processing information and acting more nimbly in real-world environments.

Key technologies include:

1) “Posture Control” technology* making it possible to run in a natural human-like way

2) “Autonomous Continuous Movement” technology enabling flexible route to destination

3) Enhanced visual and force sensor technologies enabling smoother interaction with people

1.Posture Control technology:

The combination of newly developed high-response hardware and the new Posture Control technology enables ASIMO to proactively bend or twist its torso to maintain its balance and prevent the problems of foot slippage and spinning in the air, which accompany movement at higher speeds. ASIMO is now capable of running at a speed of 3km/hour. In addition, walking speed has been increased from the previous 1.6 km/hour to 2.5 km/hour.

2.Autonomous Continuous Movement technology:

The next-generation ASIMO can maneuver toward its destination without stopping by comparing any deviation between the input map information and the information obtained about the surrounding area from its floor surface sensor. Moreover, ASIMO can now autonomously change its path when its floor surface sensor and visual sensors located in its head detect obstacles.

3.Enhanced visual sensor and force sensor technologies allow for smoother interaction with people:

By detecting people’s movements through visual sensors in its head and force (kinesthetic) sensors which have been newly added to its wrists, ASIMO can now move in sync with people allowing it to give or receive an object, shake hands in concert with a person’s movement and step forward or backward in response to the direction its hand is pulled or pushed.

By continuing to advance these new technologies, Honda will pursue development of an ASIMO that will be useful to people.–Key specifications of the new model:

1. Running speed: 3km/hour (airborne time: 0.05 second)

2. Normal walking speed: current model 1.6km/hour — new model 2.5km/hour

3. Height: 130cm (current model: 120cm)

4. Weight: 54kg (current model 52kg)

5. Continuous operating time: 1hour (current model 30 min)

6. Operating degrees of freedom: Total 34 degrees of freedom (current model: Total 26)

–Hip rotational joint:

Increased walking speed was achieved by the proactive rotation of the hips in addition to swinging of the arms, which cancel the reaction force generated when the legs swing forward during running or walking.

–Wrist bending joint:

Due to two additional axes in each wrist, the movement of the wrist area is more flexible.–Thumb joint: Previously, one motor operated all five fingers. With addition of a motor that operates the thumb independently, ASIMO can now hold objects of various shapes.

–Neck joint:

With an additional axis added to its neck joint, ASIMO’s expressiveness has been enhanced.

*More about the new Posture Control technology:

In order to realize “running,” two major obstacles had to be overcome. One was an accurate leap and the absorption of the landing impact, and the second was prevention of the slipping and spinning which accompany movement at higher speeds.

1. Accurate leap and absorption of landing impact:

In order to run, a robot has to be able to repeat the movements of pushing off the ground, swinging its legs forward, landing within a very short time cycle and without any delay, absorbing the instantaneous impact shock of landing. With a newly developed high-speed processing circuit, highly-responsive and high-power motor drive unit, in addition to light-weight and highly rigid leg structure, Honda realized highly accurate and responsive hardware with performance levels more than four times faster compared to that of the previous model.

2. Prevention of spinning and slipping:

Due to reduced pressure between the bottom of the feet and floor, spinning and slipping are more likely to happen right before the foot leaves the floor and right after the foot lands on the floor.

Overcoming the problem of spinning and slipping was the biggest control element challenge related to increasing running speed. Combining Honda’s independently developed theory of bipedal walking control with proactive bending and twisting of the torso, Honda developed a new control theory which enables stable running, while preventing slipping.

Through these technologies, ASIMO is now capable of smooth human-like running at a speed of 3km/hour. Moreover, walking speed was increased from the previous 1.6 km/hour to 2.5 km/hour.

When a human runs, the step cycle is 0.2 to 0.4 seconds depending on one’s speed, and the airborne time, when both feet are off the ground, varies between 0.05 to 0.1 seconds. The step cycle of ASIMO is 0.36 seconds with an airborne time of 0.05 seconds, which are equivalent to that of a person jogging.

Home Entertainment by Microsoft

Microsoft has announced Windows XP Media Center Edition, a version of the Windows operating system that turns a PC into a media center. The new product, formerly code-named Freestyle, is targeted at digital media enthusiasts, college dorm rooms and teen bedrooms. The interface will feature a Start button which brings up a screen to replace the standard Windows graphics with a simple design that provides quick access to various entertainment media and functions (see screenshot). It will not be available as a separate operating system, but will be packaged together with PCs that are specially designed to support its media features. These systems, planned for availability from HP, NEC, and Samsung will be priced in the $1,000 to $2,000 range, and will have extensive digital music, video, TV and DVD video playback capability, along with their own remote control. There are stories about the new system on MSNBC and BBC News.

Internet/Television Convergence: Program Tivo over AOL

This article says that AOL and Tivo are partnering to offer services that call for San Jose, Calif.-based TiVo to integrate AOL features like instant messaging (IM) and live chat into its new TiVo Series2 DVRs, and both companies are working to provide AOL members who are also TiVo subscribers the ability to schedule recordings on their TiVo from the AOL service.

TiVo already supported web controls: http://tivo.lightn.org/, but it seems that simplifying this software and integrating with AOL would lead to a higher rate of adoption.

This appears to me as a signal that AOl and TiVo are coordinating their efforts to attack Microsoft’s convergence strategy. Personally, I was hoping that AOL would work with Sony for this instead. Microsoft has pulled their UltimateTV business, and is focussing instead on XBox to get into your homes. AOL should recognize this change in strategy and team up with Sony’s Playstation division. Web services as we know them on the desktop and web services as they will be applied through home appliances such as the playstation will create a large amount of integration value – exactly the strategy that Microsoft used to take over your desktop. If Microsoft succeeds at home, too, then we are all doomed. 🙂

AI and Program Trading

NewScientist published a good article describing neural network program trading systems.

An extension allows for a large number of competing signalling systems. One such signalling system may be an improvement on traditional cointegration techniques.