Category Archives: Public Policy

Social Security Reform

I am familiar with the Senators’ stated positions, and with President Bush’s proposed framework in this early stage. I think that they may be able to kill two birds with one stone if they think outside the box. What I mean is that they could achieve tax simplification, private accounts, and permanent sustainability while lowering the payroll tax rate. Let me explain:

  1. Every citizen has a private retirement account “PRA”.
  2. Contributions to PRAs are income tax deductible, investments incur no dividend or capital gains taxes, and can receive rollovers from 401(k)s and existing IRAs. Contributions default to money markets unless directed otherwise.
  3. Automatically, 10% is deducted from all pre-tax income, with no cap: 5% goes into the PRA, and 5% goes into the general Social Security fund. More can be contributed to the PRA at the discretion of each person: up to $3k + 15% of income, again, with no cap.
  4. Early withdrawal penalties from PRAs mirror IRA regulations, except that any citizen 60 or older may withdrawl from their PRA, and only those with a worthless PRA will receive Social Security benefits from the general Social Security fund (equal or better than existing Social Security Benefits).
  5. Upon death, any remaining assets in a PRA may be transferred to beneficiaries. If the beneficiary is anyone other than a spouse, transfers are treated as income to the beneficiaries.

This plan achieves tax simplification, private accounts, and permanent sustainability while lowering the payroll tax rate. It also promotes an ownership society and increases the savings incentives for rich and poor alike.

    Let me sum up:

  • This system achieves both private accounts and a stronger social safety net.
  • It requires that the wealthy contribute to social security at the same rate as everyone else, but allows for tax advantaged retirment contributions even for the wealthy.
  • It reduces the role of government because the government assists only those who have need (those who have no value left in their retirement account).
  • It strengthens the social safety net of government because it increases funding and concentrates assistance on the needy.
  • Retirement savings tax rates are no longer determined by the employer, as the 401(k) system provides.
  • A single account for tax advantaged retirement savings will make administration much easier.
  • Everyone is encouraged to get rich, and those who outlive their savings are protected.
  • If funding surpluses are too high, the tax rate can be lowered.

Please promote Social Security modernization through your representatives.

Chinese currency policy

The import textile quota expiration may be a catalyst for political pressure on Chinese currency policy. Non-Chinese emerging markets will threaten to devalue or peg their currencies as long as the US is not punishing that type of behavior.

See also: Renminbi Valuation

Airline Cellphone Ban

Now that safety is not the constraint, why is there still a ban on in-flight Cell phone use? This would be easily solved using a barrier to create a separate quiet section. The barrier could be adjustible so that depending on the number of people requesting the quiet section, the seats could still fill to capacity.

Look to the quiet car on Amtrak trains as a model for success.

Bush’s 2nd Innaugural Address

Bush’s Innaugural address will be misunderstood by most of the world and will damage the global popular view of America.

His speech was intended to gain support for the war in Iraq among US citizens who are conflicted by the American sacrifices and intentions. Instead, the popular perception in most other nations will probably be that Bush was talking about their own nation: that Americans intend to export their political structure to every nation. Hopefully world leaders will hear the narrower interpretation that is truly an explanation for his actions in Iraq.

This is not America’s war in Iraq, it is the Iraqi war for freedom from tyranny. The methods of the insurgency prove this. America is there to support the Iraqis and help them in their cultural revolution. It will not be easy for them or for us, but Bush is sending a signal that we will be there to support the freedom revolution in Iraq.

The US has learned the hard lesson of letting go: vietnamization was hard, but it is well understood by today’s military that it should have happened sooner. The military will not make the same mistake again.

Buffet: "I don’t see how the dollar avoids going down"

Forbes reports on Warren Buffet’s currency perspective:

Heed the Sage of Omaha. Warren Buffett, whose investment acumen seems unerring, had a caveat for America: Barring “a major change” in policies, the trade deficit will further undermine the U.S. dollar.

The billionaire spoke in a Wednesday interview with CNBC, the cable TV news channel owned by General Electric (nyse: GEnewspeople).

Without shifting current trade policy, “I don’t see how the dollar avoids going down,” he mused, warning of inflation risks posed by an anemic Yankee currency.

The prairie-born genius also confessed he’s having a “hard time” identifying stocks to buy, and isn’t purchasing commodities. His cash swelled to $43 billion in the third quarter, by one account, because he couldn’t find many investment opportunities.

Buffett, 74, is chairman of Berkshire Hathaway (nyse: BRKa
news
people), the immensely successful investment vehicle that acquired a new–and immensely successful–board member in December: Microsoft (nasdaq: MSFTnewspeople) Chairman Bill Gates.

The latter also enjoys a personal friendship with Buffett, and takes part in his bridge games. (see: “Gates: Buffett’s Pal Bill Elected To Berkshire’s Board“)